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The application of statistical analysis, mathematical modeling, game theory and other quantitative scientific methods to explore political phenomena.
Tuesday, November 02, 2004
early exit poll numbers
For what they're worth:
State
Kerry
Bush
AZ CO LA PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH
45 48 42 60 52 51 51 50 58 52 49 57
55 51 57 40 48 48 47 48 40 43 49 41
With all the early voting, I have no idea how to interpret these numbers. 4 years ago, they were wrong, but I would rather be Kerry than Bush with these numbers.
For what they're worth:
State
Kerry
Bush
AZ CO LA PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH
45 48 42 60 52 51 51 50 58 52 49 57
55 51 57 40 48 48 47 48 40 43 49 41
With all the early voting, I have no idea how to interpret these numbers. 4 years ago, they were wrong, but I would rather be Kerry than Bush with these numbers.
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